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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Infinite (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $16.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $111.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Infinite (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D
94.1¢
1WIN
5.9¢
Infinite
3.6¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution62Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:44 trades$27.9K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Infinite · $11.5K net·7 wallets·$11.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY1WIN$7.3K@ 71¢·ExplosiveNinja

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Infinite pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.1K
6h
+$10.2K
tracked
$27.9K

7 verified profitable wallets: Infinite · $11.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.6¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 71% · priority 60

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 3.6¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Infinite or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against Infinite.

•This market will resolve to "Infinite" if Infinite win the match against 1WIN.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 1WIN and Infinite in the Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against Infinite. This market will resolve to "Infinite" if Infinite win the match against 1WIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Infinite DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $120 → $19 · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 1WIN; negative values favor Infinite. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInfinite · $1.1K
6h1WIN · $10.2K
24h1WIN · $1.9K

1WIN price VWAP

Volume-weighted 1WIN price. Infinite fills are converted to the complementary 1WIN probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current94.1¢
VWAP 24h71.8¢▲ above by 22.3pp
VWAP 7d71.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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1WIN price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$3
90¢
← now
$1
85¢
$178
80¢
$25
75¢
$373
70¢
$25.8K
65¢
$241
60¢
$258
55¢
$1.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cInfinite$10.0K
BUY VWAP 27.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.