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Genoa: Hugo Dellien vs Matej Dodig

Sports→Settlement: Matej DodigLiquidity: $122.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $318.3KEvent: Genoa: Hugo Dellien vs Matej Dodig
0.0¢
Hugo Dellien payout
100.0¢
Matej Dodig payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:24 trades$139.6K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 33 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Matej Dodig · $28.8K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$31.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatej Dodig$50.0K@ 99¢·HVAB

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Matej Dodig. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-16 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Dellien and Matej Dodig in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Matej Dodig. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Hugo Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hugo Dellien; negative values favor Matej Dodig. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatej Dodig · $72.4K
6hMatej Dodig · $72.4K
24hMatej Dodig · $72.4K

Hugo Dellien price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hugo Dellien price. Matej Dodig fills are converted to the complementary Hugo Dellien probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.3¢▼ below by 13.3pp
VWAP 7d13.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hugo Dellien price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$4.7K
55¢
$6.6K
50¢
$1.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$7.1K
25¢
$7.5K
20¢
$7.6K
15¢
$18.1K
10¢
$0
5¢
$7.6K
0¢
← now
$78.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMatej Dodig$25.0K@ 99.9¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMatej Dodig$50.0K@ 99.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMatej Dodig$18.1K@ 81.8¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABMatej Dodig$50.0K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cMatej Dodig$28.8K
BUY VWAP 79.3¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.