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Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal

Sports→Settlement: Mark LajalLiquidity: $181.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $215.1KEvent: Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal
0.0¢
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg payout
100.0¢
Mark Lajal payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:45 trades$67.3K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 185 min agoofficial metadata 149 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mark Lajal · $7.9K net·4 wallets·$7.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMark Lajal$10.6K@ 70¢·BLAHBLAHBLAH-298

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mark Lajal. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-17 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg and Mark Lajal in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Mark Lajal. This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg@ 34.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.5K → $551 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg; negative values favor Mark Lajal. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMark Lajal · $3.6K
6hSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $7.8K
24hSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $7.8K

Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg price. Mark Lajal fills are converted to the complementary Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.9¢▼ below by 31.9pp
VWAP 7d31.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$7.9K
50¢
$1.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$159
35¢
$25.0K
30¢
$9.1K
25¢
$10.6K
20¢
$2
15¢
$23
10¢
$180
5¢
$7.4K
0¢
← now
$5.2K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$10.0K@ 35.2¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYMark Lajal$10.6K@ 70.4¢
BLAHBLAHBLAH-2980x0210…4deb
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$10.0K@ 37.7¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$15.0K
BUY VWAP 36.5¢·2 fills
BLAHBLAHBLAH-298Mark Lajal$14.0K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·2 fills
AntblackSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$10.0K
BUY VWAP 37.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.