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Cassis: Raphael Perot vs Robin Bertrand

Sports→Settlement: Robin BertrandLiquidity: $182.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $76.7KEvent: Cassis: Raphael Perot vs Robin Bertrand
0.0¢
Raphael Perot payout
100.0¢
Robin Bertrand payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:8 trades$21.1K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 206 min agoofficial metadata 158 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Robin Bertrand · $7.7K net·3 wallets·$7.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRobin Bertrand$5.2K@ 98¢·HVAB

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Robin Bertrand. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-17 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Perot and Robin Bertrand in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Perot' if Raphael Perot advances against Robin Bertrand. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Raphael Perot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raphael Perot; negative values favor Robin Bertrand. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRobin Bertrand · $6.2K
6hRobin Bertrand · $7.5K
24hRobin Bertrand · $7.5K

Raphael Perot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raphael Perot price. Robin Bertrand fills are converted to the complementary Raphael Perot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.1¢▼ below by 23.1pp
VWAP 7d23.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raphael Perot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.8K
50¢
$5.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.8K
10¢
$0
5¢
$5.2K
0¢
← now
$6.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.