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Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichail

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $263.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $412.7KEvent: Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichail
100.0¢
Simona Waltert
0.1¢
Despina Papamichail
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets53Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:129 trades$142.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 18s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Simona Waltert · $9.0K net·9 wallets·$16.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDespina Papamichail$20.0K@ 45¢·0x78be…bde0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Despina Papamichail pressure: $27.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$27.5K
6h
−$30.1K
tracked
$142.8K

9 verified profitable wallets: Simona Waltert · $9.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -53.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Despina Papamichail or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-17 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Despina Papamichail in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Despina Papamichail. This market will resolve to 'Despina Papamichail' if Despina Papamichail advances against Simona Waltert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Despina Papamichail@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -40.0pp
Latest book event: Simona Waltert UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $34.0K → $9.3K · 20s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Simona Waltert; negative values favor Despina Papamichail. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDespina Papamichail · $27.5K
6hDespina Papamichail · $30.1K
24hDespina Papamichail · $30.1K

Simona Waltert price VWAP

Volume-weighted Simona Waltert price. Despina Papamichail fills are converted to the complementary Simona Waltert probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.9¢▲ above by 28.1pp
VWAP 7d71.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Simona Waltert price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$29.4K
90¢
$10.9K
85¢
$13.4K
80¢
$5.2K
75¢
$8.1K
70¢
$1.6K
65¢
$2
60¢
$3.4K
55¢
$24.9K
50¢
$26.2K
45¢
$19.9K
40¢
$4
35¢
$8
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSimona Waltert$19.0K@ 99.9¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—20 minutes ago
BUYDespina Papamichail$20.0K@ 45.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Despina Papamichail$23.0K
BUY VWAP 45.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.