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Montreux: Martina Trevisan vs Guiomar Maristany

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $42.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $254.4KEvent: Montreux: Martina Trevisan vs Guiomar Maristany
68.5¢
Martina Trevisan
31.5¢
Guiomar Maristany
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:67 trades$62.5K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 51s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Guiomar Maristany · $7.8K net·9 wallets·$24.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGuiomar Maristany$7.9K@ 64¢·RN1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Guiomar Maristany pressure: $1.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.3K
6h
−$14.7K
tracked
$62.5K

9 verified profitable wallets: Guiomar Maristany · $7.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 47

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Guiomar Maristany or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-17 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Martina Trevisan and Guiomar Maristany in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martina Trevisan' if Martina Trevisan advances against Guiomar Maristany. This market will resolve to 'Guiomar Maristany' if Guiomar Maristany advances against Martina Trevisan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Martina Trevisan UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $26.0K → $33.8K · 57s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Martina Trevisan; negative values favor Guiomar Maristany. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGuiomar Maristany · $1.3K
6hGuiomar Maristany · $14.7K
24hGuiomar Maristany · $14.7K

Martina Trevisan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Martina Trevisan price. Guiomar Maristany fills are converted to the complementary Martina Trevisan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.5¢
VWAP 24h36.0¢▲ above by 32.5pp
VWAP 7d36.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Martina Trevisan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$85
45¢
$2.7K
40¢
$11.2K
35¢
$28.8K
30¢
$2.2K
25¢
$8.5K
20¢
$5.0K
15¢
$610
10¢
$1.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Guiomar Maristany$14.5K
BUY VWAP 63.6¢·2 fills
unknownloser1Martina Trevisan$11.7K
BUY VWAP 29.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.