Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 75% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Shelton" if Ben Shelton wins 4.5 or more total games than Frances Tiafoe in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tiafoe".
•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Ben Shelton could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Tiafoe".
This market will resolve to "Shelton" if Ben Shelton wins 4.5 or more total games than Frances Tiafoe in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tiafoe". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Ben Shelton could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Tiafoe". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Shelton price VWAP
Largest holders
Shelton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.