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Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs ReThink (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $69.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $111.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Misa Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
49.5¢
Misa Esports payout
50.5¢
ReThink payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:10 trades$51.1K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 169 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:ReThink · $25.8K net·2 wallets·$25.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYReThink$22.9K@ 51¢·Diabolical-Prize

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-10 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports wins 2 or more maps than ReThink in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ReThink".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ReThink and Misa Esports in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports wins 2 or more maps than ReThink in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ReThink". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY ReThink@ 51.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY ReThink@ 51.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Misa Esports; negative values favor ReThink. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMisa Esports · $0
6hReThink · $48.4K
24hReThink · $48.4K

Misa Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted Misa Esports price. ReThink fills are converted to the complementary Misa Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h49.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d49.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Misa Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.4K
45¢
← now
$49.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYReThink$22.9K@ 51.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cReThink$23.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·4 fills
Diabolical-PrizeReThink$22.9K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.