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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $630.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
100.0¢
Legacy
0.1¢
FURIA
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:149 trades$255.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Legacy · $30.4K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$42.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFURIA$47.9K@ 56¢·Noprajsk

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

FURIA pressure: $31.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$31.1K
6h
−$60.3K
tracked
$255.6K

9 verified profitable wallets: Legacy · $30.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -40.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FURIA or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against FURIA.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Legacy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between Legacy and FURIA in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Noprajsk2 linked markets · $386.6K gross
SemyonMarmeladov2 linked markets · $74.9K gross
RN13 linked markets · $73.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY FURIA46m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY FURIA52m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA@ 41.0¢55m ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA@ 48.0¢58m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: FURIA DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $1.2K → $575 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Legacy; negative values favor FURIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA · $31.1K
6hFURIA · $60.3K
24hFURIA · $63.4K

Legacy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Legacy price. FURIA fills are converted to the complementary Legacy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h50.7¢▲ above by 49.2pp
VWAP 7d50.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Legacy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$30.5K
90¢
$1
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$22
60¢
$2.3K
55¢
$4.3K
50¢
$486
45¢
$46.2K
40¢
$162.2K
35¢
$3.9K
30¢
$4.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFURIA$27.2K@ 56.7¢
Noprajsk0x31e5…4879
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA$31.2K@ 56.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA$19.3K@ 55.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLegacy$11.5K@ 46.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLegacy$14.2K@ 43.0¢
SemyonMarmeladov0x37e4…c991
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA$47.9K@ 56.5¢
Noprajsk0x31e5…4879
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NoprajskFURIA$75.1K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·2 fills
0xc323…0077FURIA$31.2K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
RN1Legacy$21.8K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·7 fills
Diabolical-PrizeFURIA$19.3K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
SemyonMarmeladovLegacy$14.2K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill
SineNooneEILegacy$11.5K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.