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Islanders vs. Rangers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 23 minutesLiquidity: $333.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $89.8KEvent: Islanders vs. Rangers
40.5¢
Islanders
59.5¢
Rangers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%
24h sample:29 trades$39.8K trackedsource coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRangers$5.6K@ 59¢·rustin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Rangers pressure: $5.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$5.1K
6h
−$9.5K
tracked
$39.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 45

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Rangers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders".

•If the Rangers win, the market will resolve to "Rangers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 6 at 8:00PM ET: If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the Rangers win, the market will resolve to "Rangers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $38.0K gross
rustin2 linked markets · $8.8K gross
0xe5f0…dc1d2 linked markets · $5.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Rangers@ 60.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Islanders; negative values favor Rangers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRangers · $5.1K
6hRangers · $9.5K
24hRangers · $36.4K

Islanders price VWAP

Volume-weighted Islanders price. Rangers fills are converted to the complementary Islanders probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h41.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d41.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Islanders price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$39.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooRangers$21.5K
BUY VWAP 58.4¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.