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US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov

● quote 16s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $478.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $126.7KEvent: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
79.5¢
Alexander Zverev
20.5¢
Karen Khachanov
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:29 trades$54.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $4.6K net·2 wallets·$4.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Zverev$21.6K@ 80¢·fastball67

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Alexander Zverev pressure: $2.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.1K
6h
+$47.9K
tracked
$54.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Zverev · $4.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexander Zverev or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Karen Khachanov in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fastball672 linked markets · $28.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 80.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 81.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Karen Khachanov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $2.1K
6hAlexander Zverev · $47.9K
24hAlexander Zverev · $51.2K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Karen Khachanov fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.5¢
VWAP 24h80.4¢▼ below by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d80.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$56.7K
75¢
← now
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexander Zverev$21.6K@ 80.0¢
fastball670x45e4…7e20
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fastball67Alexander Zverev$26.8K
BUY VWAP 80.3¢·3 fills
0xa0f2…1848Alexander Zverev$16.2K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.