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Oilers vs. Ducks

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: 32 minutesLiquidity: $36.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $180.6KEvent: Oilers vs. Ducks
38.5¢
Oilers
61.5¢
Ducks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%
24h sample:33 trades$91.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 10s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDucks$35.3K@ 45¢·viboomchuu

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Oilers pressure: $32.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$32.0K
6h
+$34.5K
tracked
$91.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 51

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Oilers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-08 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers".

•If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 7 at 10:00PM ET: If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
roldy2 linked markets · $5.6K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $3.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ducks@ 46.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Ducks UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $15.3K → $1.4K · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Oilers; negative values favor Ducks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOilers · $32.0K
6hOilers · $34.5K
24hDucks · $1.4K

Oilers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Oilers price. Ducks fills are converted to the complementary Oilers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h54.1¢▼ below by 15.6pp
VWAP 7d54.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Oilers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$87.6K
50¢
$578
45¢
$0
40¢
$3.9K
35¢
← now
$2.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDucks$35.3K@ 45.0¢
viboomchuu0x291d…1f97
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

viboomchuuDucks$35.3K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
chubbytoroOilers$30.8K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.