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Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: 31 minutesLiquidity: $14.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $160.4KEvent: Oilers vs. Ducks
53.5¢
Over
46.5¢
Under
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution11Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:62 trades$65.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $422 net·8 wallets·$4.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$20.0K@ 55¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Under pressure: $10.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$10.5K
6h
−$5.0K
tracked
$65.1K

8 verified profitable wallets: Over · $422 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-08 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Oilers and Ducks combine to score 7 or more goals in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 7 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Oilers and Ducks combine to score 7 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
roldy2 linked markets · $5.6K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $3.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 56.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 55.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Under UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $80 → $57 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $10.5K
6hUnder · $5.0K
24hOver · $30.9K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h55.3¢▼ below by 1.8pp
VWAP 7d55.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$17
55¢
$56.4K
50¢
← now
$8.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$10.0K@ 56.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYOver$20.0K@ 55.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaOver$30.0K
BUY VWAP 55.3¢·2 fills
taylorsversionUnder$10.7K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.