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Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C

Sports→Settlement: PhantomLiquidity: $282.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $270.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C
0.0¢
fnatic payout
100.0¢
Phantom payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:120 trades$105.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 58 min agoofficial metadata 45 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Phantom · $2.4K net·5 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYfnatic$28.1K@ 61¢·StasPanda

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Phantom. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against Phantom.

•This market will resolve to "Phantom" if Phantom win the match against fnatic.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between fnatic and Phantom in the Stake Pulse Beat II Group C, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against Phantom. This market will resolve to "Phantom" if Phantom win the match against fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY fnatic@ 61.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +17.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY fnatic@ 61.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -47.0pp
Latest book event: fnatic DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $51 → $128 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor fnatic; negative values favor Phantom. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hfnatic · $5.6K
6hfnatic · $43.2K
24hfnatic · $71.1K

fnatic price VWAP

Volume-weighted fnatic price. Phantom fills are converted to the complementary fnatic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h50.4¢▼ below by 50.4pp
VWAP 7d50.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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fnatic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$961
90¢
$1.2K
85¢
$47
80¢
$3.4K
75¢
$32
70¢
$1.4K
65¢
$8
60¢
$71.9K
55¢
$2.2K
50¢
$1.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$448
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$40
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
← now
$17.8K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYfnatic$28.1K@ 61.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYfnatic$24.0K@ 60.0¢
skyman440x30c7…ac3b
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

StasPandafnatic$28.1K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
skyman44fnatic$24.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.