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US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 8 daysLiquidity: $935.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $200.7KEvent: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
58.5¢
Alexander Zverev
41.5¢
Ben Shelton
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly52Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:43 trades$97.8K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ben Shelton · $618 net·3 wallets·$7.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Zverev$69.9K@ 59¢·0xf559…f462

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Ben Shelton pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.5K
6h
−$2.9K
tracked
$97.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Ben Shelton · $618 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ben Shelton or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 58.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Ben Shelton. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBen Shelton · $1.5K
6hBen Shelton · $2.9K
24hAlexander Zverev · $80.1K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Ben Shelton fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h58.5¢▼ below by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d58.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$97.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexander Zverev$69.9K@ 58.8¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$10.0K@ 58.0¢
Cuco840xf3b0…23a1
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf559…f462Alexander Zverev$69.9K
BUY VWAP 58.8¢·1 fill
Cuco84Alexander Zverev$10.0K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.