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Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $91.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $153.0KEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
32.0¢
Gen.G
68.0¢
Hanwha Life Esports
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:22 trades$61.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGen.G$39.4K@ 45¢·vjnn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$41.0K
tracked
$61.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Gen.G · $3 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -12.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than Hanwha Life Esports in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Gen.G and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than Hanwha Life Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 13, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $112.4K gross
Zzzz872 linked markets · $95.8K gross
BrotherObama2 linked markets · $90.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Gen.G@ 45.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
Latest book event: Gen.G UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $1 → $3.5K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gen.G; negative values favor Hanwha Life Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGen.G · $1
6hGen.G · $41.0K
24hGen.G · $39.0K

Gen.G price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gen.G price. Hanwha Life Esports fills are converted to the complementary Gen.G probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.0¢
VWAP 24h43.4¢▼ below by 11.4pp
VWAP 7d43.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gen.G price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$44.0K
40¢
$14.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$30
25¢
$59
20¢
$0
15¢
$3.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGen.G$39.4K@ 45.0¢
vjnn0x55a1…db28
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

vjnnGen.G$39.4K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.