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Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)

● quote 16s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $363.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $144.3KEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
2.0¢
Bilibili Gaming
99.9¢
Anyones Legend
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets50Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:37 trades$57.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 62 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Anyones Legend · $3.0K net·3 wallets·$5.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBilibili Gaming$15.9K@ 64¢·StasPanda

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$43.3K
tracked
$57.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: Anyones Legend · $3.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -65.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 62 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming wins 2 or more games than Anyone's Legend in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Bilibili Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming wins 2 or more games than Anyone's Legend in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $192.1K gross
BrotherObama3 linked markets · $139.7K gross
0x1610…ae494 linked markets · $84.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 66.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -11.0pp
Latest book event: Bilibili Gaming UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $403 → $675 · 89s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bilibili Gaming; negative values favor Anyones Legend. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBilibili Gaming · $0
6hBilibili Gaming · $43.3K
24hBilibili Gaming · $45.2K

Bilibili Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bilibili Gaming price. Anyones Legend fills are converted to the complementary Bilibili Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h62.7¢▼ below by 60.7pp
VWAP 7d62.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bilibili Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$15.9K
60¢
$39.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$100
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.6K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBilibili Gaming$15.9K@ 64.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
47.5¢$1.6Mpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner
99.5¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)
0.1¢$183.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?
51.5¢$2.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
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44.5¢$808.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

StasPandaBilibili Gaming$23.8K
BUY VWAP 64.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.