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Tiburon: Alastair Gray vs Patrick Maloney

Sports→Settlement: Patrick MaloneyLiquidity: $731.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $337.6KEvent: Tiburon: Alastair Gray vs Patrick Maloney
0.0¢
Alastair Gray payout
100.0¢
Patrick Maloney payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:167 trades$126.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 52 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Patrick Maloney · $8.8K net·10 wallets·$34.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLPatrick Maloney$34.3K@ 100¢·fivethirty

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Patrick Maloney. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-21 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alastair Gray and Patrick Maloney in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Patrick Maloney. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Maloney' if Patrick Maloney advances against Alastair Gray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Patrick Maloney@ 95.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Alastair Gray DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $13 → $382 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alastair Gray; negative values favor Patrick Maloney. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPatrick Maloney · $5.0K
6hPatrick Maloney · $2.3K
24hPatrick Maloney · $2.3K

Alastair Gray price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alastair Gray price. Patrick Maloney fills are converted to the complementary Alastair Gray probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.7¢▼ below by 22.7pp
VWAP 7d22.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alastair Gray price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$313
85¢
$759
80¢
$1.3K
75¢
$207
70¢
$343
65¢
$1.4K
60¢
$9.6K
55¢
$2.9K
50¢
$202
45¢
$6.5K
40¢
$4.6K
35¢
$16.9K
30¢
$3.1K
25¢
$439
20¢
$3.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$33.1K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$42.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPatrick Maloney$34.3K@ 99.9¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPatrick Maloney$30.0K@ 87.3¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fivethirtyPatrick Maloney$30.0K
BUY VWAP 87.3¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cPatrick Maloney$12.7K
BUY VWAP 41.9¢·7 fills
0x1610…ae49Alastair Gray$10.2K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.