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LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.7MEvent: LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
0.1¢
Top Esports
100.0¢
Invictus Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 31 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:578 trades$701.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Top Esports · $10.0K net·31 wallets(3🐋)·$126.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLInvictus Gaming$30.0K@ 100¢·JaJa888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Top Esports pressure: $145.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$145.3K
6h
+$124.3K
tracked
$701.8K

31 verified profitable wallets: Top Esports · $10.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -39.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Top Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-17 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize3 linked markets · $299.1K gross
JaJa8882 linked markets · $99.2K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $65.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Top Esports@ 40.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Top Esports DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $67 → $905 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Top Esports; negative values favor Invictus Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTop Esports · $145.3K
6hTop Esports · $124.3K
24hTop Esports · $125.3K

Top Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted Top Esports price. Invictus Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Top Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h25.1¢▼ below by 25.0pp
VWAP 7d25.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Top Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$5.9K
55¢
$10.8K
50¢
$26.0K
45¢
$80.1K
40¢
$110.7K
35¢
$142.0K
30¢
$19.9K
25¢
$2.4K
20¢
$16.9K
15¢
$15.2K
10¢
$9.5K
5¢
$6.0K
0¢
← now
$256.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLInvictus Gaming$11.2K@ 99.9¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—13 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$30.0K@ 99.9¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—14 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$10.6K@ 99.9¢
TLking0x74b7…8b0b
🐋—36 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$23.5K@ 99.9¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋—38 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$20.7K@ 99.9¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$10.5K@ 99.9¢
geiyecapixie0xcae6…4f85
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$13.0K@ 99.9¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$21.6K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$12.2K@ 99.0¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$10.0K@ 56.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$13.0K@ 60.8¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$13.3K@ 63.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$24.8K@ 62.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$23.6K@ 62.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$12.0K@ 60.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeInvictus Gaming$76.1K
BUY VWAP 61.3¢·6 fills
BrotherObamaInvictus Gaming$28.5K
BUY VWAP 57.7¢·4 fills
JaJa888Invictus Gaming$25.4K
BUY VWAP 78.1¢·4 fills
SineNooneEIInvictus Gaming$16.4K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·2 fills
JaJa888Top Esports$15.5K
BUY VWAP 44.9¢·4 fills
0x9e3e…f882Top Esports$14.6K
BUY VWAP 53.1¢·7 fills
Sunshine.SmileInvictus Gaming$14.4K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·3 fills
zhon37Top Esports$14.3K
BUY VWAP 40.6¢·10 fills
urobangTop Esports$12.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·2 fills
254321758Top Esports$11.5K
BUY VWAP 38.5¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.