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LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $742.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.9MEvent: LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
47.5¢
Top Esports payout
52.5¢
Invictus Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $12.3K net·37 wallets(4🐋)·$185.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming$26.0K@ 54¢·BrotherObama

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-17 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against Top Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize4 linked markets · $309.7K gross
JaJa8883 linked markets · $163.2K gross
BrotherObama5 linked markets · $146.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Top Esports1d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Top Esports@ 71.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -31.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Top Esports1d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Top Esports; negative values favor Invictus Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $26.2K
6hTop Esports · $89.1K
24hTop Esports · $89.1K

Top Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted Top Esports price. Invictus Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Top Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h63.7¢▼ below by 16.2pp
VWAP 7d63.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Top Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$134.4K
90¢
$27.7K
85¢
$23.7K
80¢
$41.9K
75¢
$10.9K
70¢
$9.5K
65¢
$7.8K
60¢
$29.3K
55¢
$74.4K
50¢
$130.8K
45¢
← now
$190.2K
40¢
$14.1K
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$4.8K
25¢
$4.0K
20¢
$3.7K
15¢
$5.7K
10¢
$5.0K
5¢
$10.0K
0¢
$5.1K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTop Esports$22.4K@ 99.9¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTop Esports$19.0K@ 99.0¢
IMAREALPERSON0x8c0b…7aa5
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTop Esports$18.6K@ 98.5¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTop Esports$11.1K@ 59.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTop Esports$12.6K@ 55.0¢
IMAREALPERSON0x8c0b…7aa5
🐋—1 day ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$10.0K@ 93.9¢
aomendushen0080xd3f1…7535
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTop Esports$10.5K@ 94.0¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—1 day ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$18.2K@ 46.0¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—1 day ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$10.0K@ 48.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—1 day ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$26.0K@ 53.8¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTop Esports$14.4K@ 48.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—1 day ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$10.6K@ 53.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTop Esports$11.1K@ 49.3¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTop Esports$21.0K@ 49.6¢
MaoZeDonK0x19ae…395c
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaInvictus Gaming$42.7K
BUY VWAP 51.9¢·3 fills
254321758Top Esports$33.7K
BUY VWAP 62.8¢·7 fills
IMAREALPERSONTop Esports$31.7K
BUY VWAP 74.9¢·3 fills
MaoZeDonKTop Esports$29.2K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·3 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaTop Esports$26.4K
BUY VWAP 75.1¢·2 fills
fkcvffcjtTop Esports$25.5K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·7 fills
Username2133Top Esports$25.4K
BUY VWAP 62.1¢·14 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANTop Esports$22.8K
BUY VWAP 47.8¢·3 fills
zhon37Top Esports$20.3K
BUY VWAP 75.5¢·10 fills
Username2133Invictus Gaming$19.9K
BUY VWAP 57.5¢·14 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.