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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $282.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $355.9KEvent: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A
68.5¢
100 Thieves payout
31.5¢
T1 payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:124 trades$113.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 52 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:T1 · $3.4K net·7 wallets·$15.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1$18.7K@ 32¢·Lakersfan111

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against T1.

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against 100 Thieves.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and T1 in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 53m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 53m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $32.9K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $13.8K gross
BettingPartners42 linked markets · $8.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY T1@ 33.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: 100 Thieves UP 3.4pp · near-book depth $157.5K → $618 · 26s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 100 Thieves; negative values favor T1. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hT1 · $18.6K
6hT1 · $28.2K
24hT1 · $22.9K

100 Thieves price VWAP

Volume-weighted 100 Thieves price. T1 fills are converted to the complementary 100 Thieves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.5¢
VWAP 24h73.7¢▼ below by 5.2pp
VWAP 7d73.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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100 Thieves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$18.8K
90¢
$564
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$251
75¢
$258
70¢
$3.0K
65¢
← now
$92.7K
60¢
$2.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY100 Thieves$15.7K@ 68.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYT1$18.7K@ 32.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111T1$23.7K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·2 fills
vtcchampion52100 Thieves$15.7K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
quavooT1$10.9K
BUY VWAP 32.8¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.