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Sao Paulo Open: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura Pigossi

● quote 55s ago
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $362.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $932.9KEvent: Sao Paulo Open: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura Pigossi
99.9¢
Vendula Valdmannova
0.1¢
Laura Pigossi
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets76Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:217 trades$311.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Vendula Valdmannova · $173.4K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$228.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVendula Valdmannova$102.2K@ 67¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Vendula Valdmannova pressure: $11.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.5K
6h
+$140.1K
tracked
$311.0K

12 verified profitable wallets: Vendula Valdmannova · $173.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +97.1pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 27 minutes old.
  • •Executable SELL price moved 97.1pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Vendula Valdmannova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Vendula Valdmannova and Laura Pigossi in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vendula Valdmannova' if Vendula Valdmannova advances against Laura Pigossi. This market will resolve to 'Laura Pigossi' if Laura Pigossi advances against Vendula Valdmannova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL Vendula Valdmannova@ 97.1¢55m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Vendula Valdmannova1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Laura Pigossi@ 30.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Vendula Valdmannova@ 71.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Laura Pigossi DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $12.3K → $11.9K · 40s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vendula Valdmannova; negative values favor Laura Pigossi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVendula Valdmannova · $11.5K
6hVendula Valdmannova · $140.1K
24hVendula Valdmannova · $141.2K

Vendula Valdmannova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vendula Valdmannova price. Laura Pigossi fills are converted to the complementary Vendula Valdmannova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h70.5¢▲ above by 29.4pp
VWAP 7d70.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vendula Valdmannova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$23.3K
90¢
$26.4K
85¢
$2.4K
80¢
$60
75¢
$7.1K
70¢
$19.4K
65¢
$202.4K
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
$13.6K
50¢
$102
45¢
$1.8K
40¢
$11.8K
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLaura Pigossi$10.0K@ 30.4¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLaura Pigossi$10.0K@ 30.7¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLaura Pigossi$15.0K@ 29.5¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYVendula Valdmannova$102.2K@ 67.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYVendula Valdmannova$67.0K@ 67.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Vendula Valdmannova$169.2K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·2 fills
xabidakingLaura Pigossi$38.6K
BUY VWAP 30.1¢·4 fills
FlaznorpVendula Valdmannova$15.0K
BUY VWAP 89.5¢·8 fills
0x78be…bde0Laura Pigossi$13.6K
BUY VWAP 40.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.