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LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $609.8KEvent: LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
100.0¢
Team Liquid
0.1¢
FlyQuest
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:216 trades$150.6K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Liquid · $1.3K net·18 wallets·$23.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$10.8K@ 71¢·equalsignificance

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

FlyQuest pressure: $12.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.6K
6h
+$23.3K
tracked
$150.6K

18 verified profitable wallets: Team Liquid · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FlyQuest or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 3 against FlyQuest.

•This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 3 against Team Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Liquid and FlyQuest in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 3 against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 3 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $54.8K gross
5e46h3 linked markets · $54.2K gross
fkcvffcjt3 linked markets · $39.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: FlyQuest DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $275 → $60 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor FlyQuest. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlyQuest · $12.6K
6hTeam Liquid · $23.3K
24hTeam Liquid · $23.3K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. FlyQuest fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.0¢▲ above by 29.0pp
VWAP 7d71.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$35.1K
90¢
$1.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$848
75¢
$3.3K
70¢
$61.7K
65¢
$7.1K
60¢
$6.2K
55¢
$5.2K
50¢
$1.9K
45¢
$4.2K
40¢
$4.3K
35¢
$11.5K
30¢
$6.1K
25¢
$34
20¢
$1.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Liquid$10.8K@ 71.0¢
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sunshine.SmileTeam Liquid$15.3K
BUY VWAP 72.2¢·4 fills
equalsignificanceTeam Liquid$10.8K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.