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Rams vs. Raiders

● quote 15s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $186.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $57.5KEvent: Rams vs. Raiders

Indicative prices · 15s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

61.5¢
Rams
38.5¢
Raiders
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$33.3K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 383 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Raiders · $4.5K net·3 wallets·$4.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRams$15.4K@ 62¢·AppleTiime

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$33.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: Raiders · $4.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 383 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 20:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rams" if Rams win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Raiders" if Raiders win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Rams and Raiders, scheduled for October 25 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rams" if Rams win the game. This market will resolve to "Raiders" if Raiders win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $2.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Rams@ 62.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rams; negative values favor Raiders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRams · $0
6hRams · $0
24hRams · $28.7K

Rams price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rams price. Raiders fills are converted to the complementary Rams probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current61.5¢
VWAP 24h62.14¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d62.87¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rams price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$7.8K
60¢
← now
$33.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRams$15.4K@ 62.0¢
AppleTiime0xe390…e80f
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AppleTiimeRams$31.0K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.