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Chiefs vs. Seahawks

● quote 49s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 4 daysLiquidity: $83.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $27.9KEvent: Chiefs vs. Seahawks
42.5¢
Chiefs
57.5¢
Seahawks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$13.4K trackedsource coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seahawks · $5.5K net·2 wallets·$5.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeahawks$9.9K@ 55¢·0xabea…72ae

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Chiefs pressure: $2.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.9K
6h
+$4.4K
tracked
$13.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Seahawks · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 42 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chiefs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 00:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if Chiefs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Chiefs and Seahawks, scheduled for October 25 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if Chiefs win the game. This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chiefs; negative values favor Seahawks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChiefs · $2.9K
6hChiefs · $4.4K
24hSeahawks · $4.2K

Chiefs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chiefs price. Seahawks fills are converted to the complementary Chiefs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current42.5¢
VWAP 24h43.7¢▼ below by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d44.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chiefs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$18.8K
40¢
← now
$13.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.