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Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $19.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $239.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
50.5¢
Brute
49.5¢
G2 Ares
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets69Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution76Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:32 trades$90.3K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:G2 Ares · $19.9K net·3 wallets·$28.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYG2 Ares$24.0K@ 44¢·SS787878

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Brute pressure: $19.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$19.7K
6h
−$16.7K
tracked
$90.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: G2 Ares · $19.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 36 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Brute or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 14:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Brute" if Brute win the match against G2 Ares.

•This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against Brute.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Brute and G2 Ares in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Brute" if Brute win the match against G2 Ares. This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against Brute. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY G2 Ares@ 45.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +20.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Brute@ 61.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: G2 Ares UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $1.4K · 46s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Brute; negative values favor G2 Ares. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBrute · $19.7K
6hG2 Ares · $16.7K
24hG2 Ares · $16.7K

Brute price VWAP

Volume-weighted Brute price. G2 Ares fills are converted to the complementary Brute probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h58.0¢▼ below by 7.5pp
VWAP 7d58.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Brute price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$41.2K
55¢
$49.0K
50¢
← now
$45
45¢
$141
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBrute$15.2K@ 56.0¢
MD140x7d78…29a5
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYG2 Ares$24.0K@ 43.9¢
SS7878780xdd7e…0be3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBrute$15.1K@ 60.0¢
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SS787878G2 Ares$24.0K
BUY VWAP 43.9¢·1 fill
0x29b5…cc6cG2 Ares$22.4K
BUY VWAP 40.1¢·5 fills
MD14Brute$15.2K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
lllllllIlllBrute$15.1K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.