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Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $65.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $55.0KEvent: LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
79.0¢
T1 Academy
21.0¢
KT Rolster Challengers
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly10Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution73Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$15.0K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:KT Rolster Challengers · $8.0K net·2 wallets·$8.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster Challengers$2.9K@ 52¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.3K
tracked
$15.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: KT Rolster Challengers · $8.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy wins 2 or more games than KT Rolster Challengers in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between T1 Academy and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy wins 2 or more games than KT Rolster Challengers in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51202 linked markets · $43.6K gross
0x076d…8d4c5 linked markets · $41.6K gross
2543217582 linked markets · $31.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: KT Rolster Challengers DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $3 → $1.9K · 67s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1 Academy; negative values favor KT Rolster Challengers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKT Rolster Challengers · $1
6hT1 Academy · $1.3K
24hKT Rolster Challengers · $1.5K

T1 Academy price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 Academy price. KT Rolster Challengers fills are converted to the complementary T1 Academy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.0¢
VWAP 24h48.8¢▲ above by 30.2pp
VWAP 7d48.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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T1 Academy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$18
70¢
$0
65¢
$28
60¢
$0
55¢
$4
50¢
$2.1K
45¢
$12.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.