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Biella: Pavel Lagutin vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Sports→Settlement: Pavel LagutinLiquidity: $224.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $550.3KEvent: Biella: Pavel Lagutin vs Enrico Dalla Valle
100.0¢
Pavel Lagutin payout
0.0¢
Enrico Dalla Valle payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:140 trades$200.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Enrico Dalla Valle · $71.2K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$148.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEnrico Dalla Valle$22.3K@ 93¢·Flaznorp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pavel Lagutin. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-22 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Enrico Dalla Valle in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Enrico Dalla Valle. This market will resolve to 'Enrico Dalla Valle' if Enrico Dalla Valle advances against Pavel Lagutin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Pavel Lagutin@ 95.2¢58m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Enrico Dalla Valle@ 96.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.4pp1h INVALIDATED -48.5pp
Latest book event: Pavel Lagutin UP 2.9pp · near-book depth $66.9K → $18.8K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pavel Lagutin; negative values favor Enrico Dalla Valle. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEnrico Dalla Valle · $8.7K
6hEnrico Dalla Valle · $102.2K
24hEnrico Dalla Valle · $102.2K

Pavel Lagutin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pavel Lagutin price. Enrico Dalla Valle fills are converted to the complementary Pavel Lagutin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h44.6¢▲ above by 55.4pp
VWAP 7d44.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pavel Lagutin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.3K
90¢
$14.2K
85¢
$20.5K
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.2K
70¢
$1.4K
65¢
$2.0K
60¢
$83
55¢
$4.1K
50¢
$18.9K
45¢
$17.1K
40¢
$2.6K
35¢
$2.1K
30¢
$4.0K
25¢
$41.8K
20¢
$21.2K
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$1.5K
5¢
$33.7K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPavel Lagutin$13.2K@ 94.2¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPavel Lagutin$10.4K@ 88.9¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLPavel Lagutin$14.5K@ 49.9¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYEnrico Dalla Valle$22.3K@ 93.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpEnrico Dalla Valle$23.5K
BUY VWAP 92.3¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Pavel Lagutin$14.0K
BUY VWAP 21.1¢·4 fills
FlaznorpPavel Lagutin$12.0K
BUY VWAP 89.2¢·5 fills
0xe911…3d4eEnrico Dalla Valle$10.7K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.