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Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Milwaukee BrewersLiquidity: $94.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $169.0KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
100.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers payout
0.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Milwaukee Brewers · $3.4K net·4 wallets·$4.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMilwaukee Brewers$55.5K@ 100¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Milwaukee Brewers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-15 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 15 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
MAGATheeStallion2 linked markets · $4.0K gross
naturalbornchiller2 linked markets · $2.2K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $2.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Pittsburgh Pirates@ 47.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Milwaukee Brewers; negative values favor Pittsburgh Pirates. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh Pirates · $57.4K
6hPittsburgh Pirates · $70.0K
24hPittsburgh Pirates · $71.0K

Milwaukee Brewers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Milwaukee Brewers price. Pittsburgh Pirates fills are converted to the complementary Milwaukee Brewers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.9¢▲ above by 20.1pp
VWAP 7d79.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Milwaukee Brewers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$57.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$30
55¢
$3.4K
50¢
$39.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMilwaukee Brewers$55.5K@ 99.9¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—3 days ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$24.7K@ 47.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—3 days ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$10.0K@ 54.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb4f9…c9a7Pittsburgh Pirates$24.7K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
0xf559…f462Milwaukee Brewers$10.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.