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Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $93.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $117.0KEvent: Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend
71.5¢
Marta Kostyuk payout
28.5¢
Taylor Townsend payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marta Kostyuk · $2.9K net·2 wallets·$2.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTaylor Townsend$8.6K@ 35¢·0xd8b4…7773

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Taylor Townsend. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Townsend' if Taylor Townsend advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marta Kostyuk; negative values favor Taylor Townsend. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarta Kostyuk · $22
6hMarta Kostyuk · $1.7K
24hTaylor Townsend · $16.6K

Marta Kostyuk price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marta Kostyuk price. Taylor Townsend fills are converted to the complementary Marta Kostyuk probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current71.5¢
VWAP 24h63.0¢▲ above by 8.5pp
VWAP 7d64.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marta Kostyuk price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$12.6K
65¢
$3.8K
60¢
$8.6K
55¢
$3.6K
50¢
$5.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MrClaude11Taylor Townsend$11.0K
BUY VWAP 32.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.