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Spread: Vikings (-14.5)

● quote 106 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 22 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $20.4KEvent: Colts vs. Vikings

Indicative prices · 106 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

21.0¢
Vikings
79.0¢
Colts
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%
24h sample:2 trades$3.3K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 149 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVikings$2.0K@ 21¢·quavoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$3.3K
tracked
$3.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 106 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 149 minutes old.
  • •Less than 23h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 15 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colts".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Vikings, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colts". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vikings; negative values favor Colts. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVikings · $0
6hVikings · $3.3K
24hVikings · $3.3K

Vikings price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vikings price. Colts fills are converted to the complementary Vikings probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current21.0¢
VWAP 24h20.88¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d20.88¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vikings price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
← now
$3.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Vikings (-6.5)
49.5¢$42.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Vikings
28.5¢$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5
46.5¢$413priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
11.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colts (-3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colts (-1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colts (-2.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.