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Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $79.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $84.5KEvent: Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone
50.5¢
Harold Mayot payout
49.5¢
Murphy Cassone payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHarold Mayot$22.7K@ 51¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Murphy Cassone in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Murphy Cassone. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Harold Mayot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Harold Mayot@ 51.0¢17d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Harold Mayot; negative values favor Murphy Cassone. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHarold Mayot · $0
6hHarold Mayot · $15.8K
24hHarold Mayot · $15.8K

Harold Mayot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Harold Mayot price. Murphy Cassone fills are converted to the complementary Harold Mayot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h53.0¢▼ below by 2.5pp
VWAP 7d53.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Harold Mayot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$11.4K
50¢
← now
$27.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHarold Mayot$22.7K@ 51.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—17 days ago
BUYMurphy Cassone$11.4K@ 42.4¢0xd8b4…7773🐋—17 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.