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Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin

Sports→Settlement: Ilia SimakinLiquidity: $135.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $84.1KEvent: Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin
0.0¢
Blake Ellis payout
100.0¢
Ilia Simakin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:48 trades$31.9K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 138 min agoofficial metadata 104 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ilia Simakin · $5.5K net·7 wallets·$5.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIlia Simakin$4.0K@ 78¢·Jan777

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ilia Simakin. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-24 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Blake Ellis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Blake Ellis; negative values favor Ilia Simakin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBlake Ellis · $4.5K
6hIlia Simakin · $14.3K
24hIlia Simakin · $22.2K

Blake Ellis price VWAP

Volume-weighted Blake Ellis price. Ilia Simakin fills are converted to the complementary Blake Ellis probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h16.4¢▼ below by 16.4pp
VWAP 7d16.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Blake Ellis price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$20.7K
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$2.4K
5¢
$2.8K
0¢
← now
$4.8K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Jan777Ilia Simakin$10.1K
BUY VWAP 78.2¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.