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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

● quote 23s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $327.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $81.6KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
44.5¢
Milwaukee Brewers
55.5¢
Philadelphia Phillies
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$35.0K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Milwaukee Brewers · $21.4K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$21.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers$15.1K@ 45¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Milwaukee Brewers pressure: $6.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.3K
6h
+$6.7K
tracked
$35.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Milwaukee Brewers · $21.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 60 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Milwaukee Brewers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 22 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 44.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Milwaukee Brewers; negative values favor Philadelphia Phillies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMilwaukee Brewers · $6.3K
6hMilwaukee Brewers · $6.7K
24hMilwaukee Brewers · $8.7K

Milwaukee Brewers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Milwaukee Brewers price. Philadelphia Phillies fills are converted to the complementary Milwaukee Brewers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h44.5¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d44.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Milwaukee Brewers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.2K
40¢
← now
$32.9K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$10.9K@ 56.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$15.1K@ 44.9¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 18 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Milwaukee Brewers$15.1K
BUY VWAP 44.9¢·1 fill
SDTradingPhiladelphia Phillies$10.9K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.