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Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $3.7MEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
30.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
69.5¢
Atlanta Braves
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection72Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority78Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 91%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:112 trades$2.4M tracked12% 🐋source coverage 64%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cincinnati Reds · $35.2K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$64.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Braves$1.4M@ 71¢·goshkam

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Atlanta Braves SETUP
What the tape says

Atlanta Braves pressure: $1.7M net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.7M
6h
−$2.0M
tracked
$2.4M

4 verified profitable wallets: Cincinnati Reds · $35.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 91% · priority 78

Since latest liquidity absorption: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Atlanta Braves or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 22 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $78.4K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $41.3K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $33.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 31.0¢40m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 31.0¢55m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Atlanta Braves@ 70.0¢56m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 31.0¢58m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Cincinnati Reds DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $161.2K → $5.9K · 108s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor Atlanta Braves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Braves · $1.7M
6hAtlanta Braves · $2.0M
24hAtlanta Braves · $2.0M

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. Atlanta Braves fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current30.5¢
VWAP 24h30.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d30.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$57.4K
30¢
← now
$976.5K
25¢
$1.4M
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCincinnati Reds$10.4K@ 31.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$11.3K@ 69.0¢
goshkam0xc29c…2d10
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$381.6K@ 70.0¢
goshkam0xc29c…2d10
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$28.6K@ 69.3¢
goshkam0xc29c…2d10
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$1.4M@ 71.0¢
goshkam0xc29c…2d10
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$16.0K@ 31.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$15.0K@ 31.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$65.9K@ 67.0¢
goshkam0xc29c…2d10
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$12.9K@ 69.0¢
goshkam0xc29c…2d10
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$226.0K@ 67.3¢
goshkam0xc29c…2d10
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$41.2K@ 68.5¢
goshkam0xc29c…2d10
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$10.2K@ 64.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$14.6K@ 64.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

goshkamAtlanta Braves$2.1M
BUY VWAP 70.2¢·8 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rCincinnati Reds$65.8K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·11 fills
quavooCincinnati Reds$43.7K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·8 fills
HomeRunHazardCincinnati Reds$29.8K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·10 fills
quavooAtlanta Braves$29.4K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·32 fills
ferrariChampions2026Atlanta Braves$14.6K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
AnjunAtlanta Braves$14.2K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·2 fills
PainfulvoidCincinnati Reds$11.9K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·3 fills
SDTradingCincinnati Reds$11.1K
BUY VWAP 33.8¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Cincinnati Reds$10.4K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.