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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $51.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $356.3KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
0.4¢
San Diego Padres
99.6¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
0.4¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets85Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:108 trades$140.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 56s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Los Angeles Dodgers · $38.0K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$44.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$24.0K@ 47¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Los Angeles Dodgers pressure: $29.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$29.6K
6h
+$2.9K
tracked
$140.6K

7 verified profitable wallets: Los Angeles Dodgers · $38.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.4¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -46.4pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Los Angeles Dodgers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 22 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 47.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 47.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.0pp
Latest book event: San Diego Padres UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $6.8K → $447 · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor Los Angeles Dodgers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLos Angeles Dodgers · $29.6K
6hSan Diego Padres · $2.9K
24hSan Diego Padres · $723

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. Los Angeles Dodgers fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.4¢
VWAP 24h28.9¢▼ below by 28.5pp
VWAP 7d28.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$73.8K
40¢
$3.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$28.7K
5¢
$8.2K
0¢
← now
$24.6K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$12.2K@ 97.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—40 minutes ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$13.5K@ 90.0¢
donaldbush0x66b2…0fdf
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$24.0K@ 46.8¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0F62Los Angeles Dodgers$28.1K
BUY VWAP 95.7¢·8 fills
kkookkooSan Diego Padres$24.0K
BUY VWAP 46.8¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiSan Diego Padres$21.0K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·26 fills
donaldbushLos Angeles Dodgers$13.5K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.