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Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)

Sports→Settlement: Las Vegas AcesLiquidity: $154.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $173.5KEvent: Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm
100.0¢
Las Vegas Aces payout
0.0¢
Seattle Storm payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Las Vegas Aces · $14.2K net·4 wallets·$14.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLas Vegas Aces$61.9K@ 100¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Las Vegas Aces. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces" if the Las Vegas Aces win the game by 11 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 17 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces" if the Las Vegas Aces win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $22.0K gross
0x0c15…9a452 linked markets · $5.9K gross
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $1.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Las Vegas Aces@ 53.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Las Vegas Aces; negative values favor Seattle Storm. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeattle Storm · $62.4K
6hSeattle Storm · $36.3K
24hSeattle Storm · $24.4K

Las Vegas Aces price VWAP

Volume-weighted Las Vegas Aces price. Seattle Storm fills are converted to the complementary Las Vegas Aces probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h80.2¢▲ above by 19.9pp
VWAP 7d80.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Las Vegas Aces price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$62.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$12
80¢
$4
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$31.0K
45¢
$11.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLas Vegas Aces$61.9K@ 99.9¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—3 days ago
BUYLas Vegas Aces$16.0K@ 53.4¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

winwin518168Las Vegas Aces$25.9K
BUY VWAP 52.6¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Las Vegas Aces$13.6K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.