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Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova

Sports→Settlement: Liudmila SamsonovaLiquidity: $952.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $553.5KEvent: Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova
0.0¢
Marta Kostyuk payout
100.0¢
Liudmila Samsonova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:238 trades$187.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 515 min agoofficial metadata 498 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marta Kostyuk · $19.3K net·19 wallets·$43.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarta Kostyuk$19.5K@ 78¢·angelat0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Liudmila Samsonova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-24 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Liudmila Samsonova in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Marta Kostyuk@ 78.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Marta Kostyuk DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $144 → $365 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marta Kostyuk; negative values favor Liudmila Samsonova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarta Kostyuk · $37.0K
6hMarta Kostyuk · $42.3K
24hMarta Kostyuk · $63.3K

Marta Kostyuk price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marta Kostyuk price. Liudmila Samsonova fills are converted to the complementary Marta Kostyuk probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h53.5¢▼ below by 53.5pp
VWAP 7d53.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marta Kostyuk price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$283
80¢
$12.0K
75¢
$46.4K
70¢
$11.0K
65¢
$42.6K
60¢
$11.0K
55¢
$711
50¢
$3.5K
45¢
$64
40¢
$4.9K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$18.1K
15¢
$1.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$3.9K
0¢
← now
$28.4K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMarta Kostyuk$10.0K@ 66.6¢
RebornAthena0x081e…f76e
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$14.0K@ 32.1¢0xe907…cff6🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYMarta Kostyuk$19.5K@ 78.0¢
angelat00xd849…6ac7
🐋—about 16 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

angelat0Marta Kostyuk$19.5K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesMarta Kostyuk$16.6K
BUY VWAP 73.2¢·8 fills
RebornAthenaMarta Kostyuk$16.5K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·4 fills
0xe907…cff6Liudmila Samsonova$14.0K
BUY VWAP 32.1¢·2 fills
0xwiseLiudmila Samsonova$11.1K
BUY VWAP 22.9¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.