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Spread: Atlanta Dream (-16.5)

Sports→Settlement: Atlanta DreamLiquidity: $65.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $93.7KEvent: Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream
100.0¢
Atlanta Dream payout
0.0¢
Connecticut Sun payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Dream · $7.1K net·3 wallets·$10.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYConnecticut Sun$27.2K@ 49¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Atlanta Dream. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-17 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream" if the Atlanta Dream win the game by 17 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 17 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream" if the Atlanta Dream win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $22.8K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $3.1K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $106 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Connecticut Sun@ 45.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Dream; negative values favor Connecticut Sun. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Dream · $0
6hConnecticut Sun · $18.3K
24hConnecticut Sun · $18.3K

Atlanta Dream price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Dream price. Connecticut Sun fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Dream probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.9¢▲ above by 48.1pp
VWAP 7d51.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Dream price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$12
65¢
$13
60¢
$4
55¢
$71
50¢
$39.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYConnecticut Sun$27.2K@ 48.7¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

winwin518168Connecticut Sun$27.2K
BUY VWAP 48.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.