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Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Sports→Settlement: Carlo Alberto CaniatoLiquidity: $944.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $557.8KEvent: Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
0.0¢
Mika Brunold payout
100.0¢
Carlo Alberto Caniato payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:143 trades$178.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 52 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mika Brunold · $33.3K net·18 wallets(2🐋)·$86.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMika Brunold$13.3K@ 35¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Carlo Alberto Caniato. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-25 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Brunold and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Mika Brunold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Mika Brunold1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Mika Brunold@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Mika Brunold2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Mika Brunold@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Mika Brunold DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $35 → $2 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mika Brunold; negative values favor Carlo Alberto Caniato. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMika Brunold · $42.8K
6hMika Brunold · $81.1K
24hMika Brunold · $81.1K

Mika Brunold price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mika Brunold price. Carlo Alberto Caniato fills are converted to the complementary Mika Brunold probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h46.5¢▼ below by 46.5pp
VWAP 7d46.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mika Brunold price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$5.4K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$9.0K
65¢
$217
60¢
$36.8K
55¢
$29.4K
50¢
$7.5K
45¢
$5.2K
40¢
$304
35¢
$52.1K
30¢
$6.9K
25¢
$14.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$10.3K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMika Brunold$13.3K@ 35.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMika Brunold$11.9K@ 62.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMika Brunold$10.0K@ 36.3¢
jackfive20210x49a4…addf
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Mika Brunold$39.8K
BUY VWAP 40.8¢·7 fills
fkcvffcjtMika Brunold$19.1K
BUY VWAP 60.4¢·2 fills
jackfive2021Mika Brunold$17.9K
BUY VWAP 36.2¢·4 fills
0x1610…ae49Carlo Alberto Caniato$11.7K
BUY VWAP 21.0¢·5 fills
xabidakingMika Brunold$10.1K
BUY VWAP 47.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.