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Szczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti

Sports→Settlement: Marco TrungellitiLiquidity: $878.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $266.0KEvent: Szczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti
0.0¢
Marco Cecchinato payout
100.0¢
Marco Trungelliti payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:46 trades$106.1K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 92 min agoofficial metadata 48 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marco Trungelliti · $16.0K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$52.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMarco Trungelliti$26.3K@ 99¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marco Trungelliti. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-25 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Marco Trungelliti in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Marco Trungelliti. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Marco Trungelliti2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Marco Trungelliti2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Marco Trungelliti@ 57.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +20.0pp1h CONFIRMED +25.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Marco Trungelliti@ 57.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +20.0pp1h CONFIRMED +25.0pp
Latest book event: Marco Cecchinato UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1 → $965 · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marco Cecchinato; negative values favor Marco Trungelliti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarco Cecchinato · $29.6K
6hMarco Trungelliti · $470
24hMarco Trungelliti · $470

Marco Cecchinato price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marco Cecchinato price. Marco Trungelliti fills are converted to the complementary Marco Cecchinato probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h24.7¢▼ below by 24.7pp
VWAP 7d24.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marco Cecchinato price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$206
45¢
$9.7K
40¢
$18.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$28.8K
25¢
$2.6K
20¢
$5.4K
15¢
$8.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$5.6K
0¢
← now
$26.3K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMarco Trungelliti$26.3K@ 99.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMarco Trungelliti$15.0K@ 56.7¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMarco Trungelliti$14.3K@ 66.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Marco Trungelliti$24.8K
BUY VWAP 61.7¢·3 fills
kkookkooMarco Trungelliti$15.0K
BUY VWAP 56.7¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Marco Cecchinato$14.7K
BUY VWAP 26.6¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.