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Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: VitalityLiquidity: $450.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $406.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
100.0¢
Vitality payout
0.0¢
FURIA payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:75 trades$212.8K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA · $36.2K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$102.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLVitality$59.7K@ 100¢·fkcvffcjt

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Vitality. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-19 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against FURIA.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Vitality and FURIA in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Vitality. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $100.1K gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $80.4K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $38.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Vitality2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 70.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: FURIA DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $120 → $909 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vitality; negative values favor FURIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA · $98.6K
6hFURIA · $51.4K
24hFURIA · $51.4K

Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vitality price. FURIA fills are converted to the complementary Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.1¢▲ above by 13.9pp
VWAP 7d86.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$107.9K
90¢
$2.5K
85¢
$0
80¢
$11.5K
75¢
$4.3K
70¢
$32.5K
65¢
$54.3K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLVitality$59.7K@ 99.9¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLVitality$11.8K@ 99.9¢
TLking0x74b7…8b0b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLVitality$11.6K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYVitality$11.7K@ 70.0¢0x14f3…1398🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYVitality$10.2K@ 70.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYVitality$11.1K@ 69.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtVitality$19.6K
BUY VWAP 69.7¢·4 fills
0x14f3…1398Vitality$11.7K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·1 fill
jaytee158Vitality$11.1K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.