PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $198.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $111.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
68.5¢
Vitality
31.5¢
FURIA
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets2Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$46.9K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Vitality · $90 net·2 wallets·$3.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality$18.4K@ 69¢·0xf559…f462

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Vitality pressure: $2.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.2K
6h
+$41.0K
tracked
$46.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Vitality · $90 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 43

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Vitality or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FURIA.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Vitality and FURIA in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 69.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vitality; negative values favor FURIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVitality · $2.2K
6hVitality · $41.0K
24hVitality · $35.2K

Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vitality price. FURIA fills are converted to the complementary Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.5¢
VWAP 24h69.2¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d69.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5.8K
65¢
← now
$41.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVitality$18.2K@ 69.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYVitality$18.4K@ 69.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?
93.5¢$1.0Mpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$930.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
48.5¢$809.6Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
37.5¢$467.4Kpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
55.5¢$452.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$428.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$365.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf559…f462Vitality$36.7K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.