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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $220.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
100.0¢
Invictus Gaming
0.1¢
JD Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 21 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:419 trades$576.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $23.7K net·21 wallets(4🐋)·$109.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming$34.4K@ 54¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Invictus Gaming pressure: $48.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$48.5K
6h
+$52.9K
tracked
$576.5K

21 verified profitable wallets: Invictus Gaming · $23.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -70.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Invictus Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against JD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Invictus Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $358.0K gross
fkcvffcjt4 linked markets · $237.6K gross
BrotherObama4 linked markets · $189.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming18m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming18m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY JD Gaming27m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY JD Gaming@ 71.0¢29m ago
15m INVALIDATED -63.0pp
Latest book event: JD Gaming DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $80 → $13 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor JD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $48.5K
6hInvictus Gaming · $52.9K
24hInvictus Gaming · $52.9K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. JD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h60.7¢▲ above by 39.2pp
VWAP 7d60.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$105.1K
90¢
$12.4K
85¢
$23.6K
80¢
$13.9K
75¢
$4.2K
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$169
60¢
$47.2K
55¢
$119.3K
50¢
$132.8K
45¢
$3.0K
40¢
$17.8K
35¢
$14.9K
30¢
$24.4K
25¢
$10.8K
20¢
$35.5K
15¢
$9.8K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLInvictus Gaming$12.7K@ 99.9¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—2 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$14.4K@ 99.9¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$13.3K@ 98.9¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$10.0K@ 43.2¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—38 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$17.3K@ 55.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$34.4K@ 54.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJD Gaming$28.7K@ 47.3¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$25.0K@ 57.7¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$14.8K@ 53.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$2.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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0.1¢$2.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
100.0¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Invictus Gaming$49.2K
BUY VWAP 53.7¢·2 fills
fkcvffcjtInvictus Gaming$30.2K
BUY VWAP 50.9¢·8 fills
fantasy7788JD Gaming$28.7K
BUY VWAP 47.3¢·1 fill
Jer-PredictInvictus Gaming$25.0K
BUY VWAP 57.7¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52Invictus Gaming$20.1K
BUY VWAP 55.5¢·9 fills
254321758Invictus Gaming$15.5K
BUY VWAP 98.8¢·2 fills
Sunshine.SmileInvictus Gaming$15.2K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·3 fills
Username2133Invictus Gaming$13.6K
BUY VWAP 75.3¢·6 fills
laopilaoJD Gaming$13.5K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills
48binnJD Gaming$12.3K
BUY VWAP 42.2¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.