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Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $218.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $325.1KEvent: Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
0.1¢
Miami Marlins
100.0¢
Chicago Cubs
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets38Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$130.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $24.2K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$63.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$11.6K@ 50¢·curie

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Miami Marlins pressure: $4.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.6K
6h
−$13.3K
tracked
$130.0K

7 verified profitable wallets: Chicago Cubs · $24.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miami Marlins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-01 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for September 24 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $754 → $2.2K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami Marlins; negative values favor Chicago Cubs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $4.6K
6hChicago Cubs · $13.3K
24hChicago Cubs · $16.1K

Miami Marlins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami Marlins price. Chicago Cubs fills are converted to the complementary Miami Marlins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h37.1¢▼ below by 37.0pp
VWAP 7d37.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami Marlins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$5.1K
50¢
$23.1K
45¢
$17.2K
40¢
$3.1K
35¢
$38.6K
30¢
$28.3K
25¢
$777
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$1.8K
10¢
$19
5¢
$1.8K
0¢
← now
$9.2K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$11.6K@ 49.5¢
curie0xd1ed…d7cb
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

dabossrealmanChicago Cubs$14.9K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·4 fills
HomeRunHazardChicago Cubs$14.5K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·5 fills
curieChicago Cubs$11.6K
BUY VWAP 49.5¢·1 fill
FeromontMiami Marlins$11.1K
BUY VWAP 39.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.