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Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $569.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $168.6KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
31.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
68.5¢
Atlanta Braves
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$89.1K tracked38% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 148 min agoofficial metadata 57s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Braves · $68.8K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$74.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Braves$38.2K@ 68¢·Talvez10

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1.5K
tracked
$89.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Atlanta Braves · $68.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 148 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-01 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 24 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Braves@ 69.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor Atlanta Braves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $0
6hAtlanta Braves · $1.5K
24hAtlanta Braves · $57.1K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. Atlanta Braves fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current31.5¢
VWAP 24h32.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d32.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$89.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAtlanta Braves$33.3K@ 68.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$38.2K@ 68.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$13.2K@ 33.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Atlanta Braves$71.5K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·2 fills
SDTradingCincinnati Reds$13.2K
BUY VWAP 33.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.