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Houston Astros vs. Athletics

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $137.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $569.7KEvent: Houston Astros vs. Athletics
60.5¢
Houston Astros
39.5¢
Athletics
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:105 trades$312.2K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Houston Astros · $45.4K net·8 wallets(2🐋)·$98.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHouston Astros$26.4K@ 85¢·Kev69

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Houston Astros pressure: $10.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.7K
6h
+$109.2K
tracked
$312.2K

8 verified profitable wallets: Houston Astros · $45.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 55

Since latest large flow: +17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 17.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Houston Astros or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Athletics, scheduled for September 24 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $20.1K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $10.8K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $4.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Houston Astros9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Houston Astros@ 44.0¢29m ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Houston Astros@ 51.0¢41m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Houston Astros@ 84.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -42.0pp
Latest book event: Houston Astros UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.2K → $46.1K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Houston Astros; negative values favor Athletics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHouston Astros · $10.7K
6hHouston Astros · $109.2K
24hHouston Astros · $113.3K

Houston Astros price VWAP

Volume-weighted Houston Astros price. Athletics fills are converted to the complementary Houston Astros probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current60.5¢
VWAP 24h63.8¢▼ below by 3.3pp
VWAP 7d63.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Houston Astros price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$26.5K
80¢
$48.1K
75¢
$1.3K
70¢
$4.1K
65¢
$27.5K
60¢
← now
$110.5K
55¢
$18.9K
50¢
$13.2K
45¢
$33.1K
40¢
$27.5K
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHouston Astros$10.0K@ 41.1¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—30 minutes ago
SELLHouston Astros$25.8K@ 83.0¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHouston Astros$13.4K@ 84.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHouston Astros$26.4K@ 85.1¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHouston Astros$17.0K@ 67.9¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAthletics$14.7K@ 37.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHouston Astros$10.0K@ 64.0¢0xba5a…b257🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHouston Astros$23.6K@ 63.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtHouston Astros$61.4K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·7 fills
Kev69Houston Astros$45.2K
BUY VWAP 59.3¢·3 fills
0x3dfb…abafHouston Astros$29.4K
BUY VWAP 62.8¢·2 fills
0xba5a…b257Houston Astros$24.8K
BUY VWAP 62.4¢·3 fills
EztennisHouston Astros$15.5K
BUY VWAP 61.8¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Athletics$14.7K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rAthletics$14.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·6 fills
SDTradingHouston Astros$12.5K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.