PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Cincinnati (-15.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $103.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.5KEvent: Miami (OH) vs. Cincinnati
47.5¢
Cincinnati
52.5¢
Miami (OH)
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:4 trades$20.0K tracked25% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCincinnati$16.1K@ 48¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Cincinnati pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.5K
6h
+$17.6K
tracked
$20.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
  • •Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cincinnati or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game by 16 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Miami (OH)".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Miami (OH)". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati; negative values favor Miami (OH). Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati · $1.5K
6hCincinnati · $17.6K
24hCincinnati · $20.0K

Cincinnati price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati price. Miami (OH) fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d48.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Cincinnati price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$20.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCincinnati$16.1K@ 48.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
77.5¢$1.1Mpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
51.5¢$672.4Kpriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
55.5¢$575.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
56.5¢$504.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$430.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$366.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Cincinnati$16.1K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.