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Spread: Indiana Fever (-15.5)

Sports→Settlement: Indiana FeverLiquidity: $69.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $103.7KEvent: Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo
100.0¢
Indiana Fever payout
0.0¢
Toronto Tempo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToronto Tempo$12.0K@ 51¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Indiana Fever. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Indiana Fever" if the Indiana Fever win the game by 16 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 18 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Indiana Fever" if the Indiana Fever win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Indiana Fever; negative values favor Toronto Tempo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hToronto Tempo · $38
6hToronto Tempo · $12.2K
24hToronto Tempo · $12.2K

Indiana Fever price VWAP

Volume-weighted Indiana Fever price. Toronto Tempo fills are converted to the complementary Indiana Fever probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h50.2¢▲ above by 49.8pp
VWAP 7d50.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Indiana Fever price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$38
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$23.5K
45¢
$12.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYToronto Tempo$12.0K@ 51.0¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—2 days ago
BUYToronto Tempo$11.8K@ 49.4¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

winwin518168Toronto Tempo$23.8K
BUY VWAP 50.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.