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Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua

● quote 23s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $158.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $463.5KEvent: Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua
100.0¢
Anna Bondar
0.1¢
Renata Zarazua
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets39Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:153 trades$180.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Renata Zarazua · $25.6K net·10 wallets·$66.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAnna Bondar$12.9K@ 100¢·VFASA12

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Anna Bondar pressure: $1.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.4K
6h
−$4.1K
tracked
$180.4K

10 verified profitable wallets: Renata Zarazua · $25.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -62.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 33 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Anna Bondar or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-28 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Renata Zarazua in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Renata Zarazua. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Anna Bondar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Renata Zarazua@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -23.0pp1h INVALIDATED -62.6pp
Latest book event: Renata Zarazua UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $15.1K → $7.2K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Anna Bondar; negative values favor Renata Zarazua. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnna Bondar · $1.4K
6hRenata Zarazua · $4.1K
24hRenata Zarazua · $4.1K

Anna Bondar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Anna Bondar price. Renata Zarazua fills are converted to the complementary Anna Bondar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h50.8¢▲ above by 49.1pp
VWAP 7d50.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Anna Bondar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$51.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$151
80¢
$4.1K
75¢
$562
70¢
$1.4K
65¢
$28.9K
60¢
$16.8K
55¢
$13.0K
50¢
$7.6K
45¢
$6.6K
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$9.9K
30¢
$35.4K
25¢
$12
20¢
$3.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAnna Bondar$12.9K@ 99.9¢
VFASA120xfd81…4a5c
🐋—15 minutes ago
SELLAnna Bondar$12.2K@ 99.9¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—24 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Renata Zarazua$29.1K
BUY VWAP 60.2¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.